Life expectancy increases slightly every year as treatment strategies and technologies improve. At present, more than one year of research is required for each additional year of expected life. Actuarial escape velocity occurs when this ratio reverses, so that expected years of remaining life actually increase each year.
we are currently at 20% actuarial escape velocity. the life expectancy is rising with 0.2 years (some 2,5 months), every year, and death rate from cancer and heart disease has been dropping rapidly, with 2-4% per year. so even with todays rate, if you are 20y today, your life expectancy is 15 years longer than the current today, so that would be make your life expectancy about 80-95 years depending where you live, but you also need to take into account that the expectancy is rising all the time as technology and medicine advances.
discuss, do you think we ever reach over 1:1 ratio, that would mean indefinite lifespan
Actuarial Escape Velocity
Moderator: Moporators
Re: Actuarial Escape Velocity
interesting question, I won't dare to answer though. Ofcourse noone escapes death.
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Re: Actuarial Escape Velocity
The moment Humanity tries to outsmart death is the moment we'll probably all die.
the only way to not face death is to not be alive, in my opinion, and until Science finds a way to make the brain run without blood and be able to send nerve signals to nonbiological parts, we will never be infinitely alive, of course the brain will eventually die anyway.
also, if that stage ever occurs, we are no longer human.
the only way to not face death is to not be alive, in my opinion, and until Science finds a way to make the brain run without blood and be able to send nerve signals to nonbiological parts, we will never be infinitely alive, of course the brain will eventually die anyway.
also, if that stage ever occurs, we are no longer human.
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Re: Actuarial Escape Velocity
great topic. let's not discuss it any further until tijsjoris bumps the thread in 2015.
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